Comparing various Bayesian random-effects models for pooling randomized controlled trials with rare events.

The meta-analysis of rare events presents unique methodological challenges owing to the small number of events. Bayesian methods are often used to combine rare events data to inform decision-making, as they can incorporate prior information and handle studies with zero events without the need for continuity corrections. However, the comparative performances of different Bayesian models in pooling rare events data are not well understood. We conducted a simulation to compare the statistical properties of four parameterizations based on the binomial-normal hierarchical model, using two different priors for the treatment effect: weakly informative prior (WIP) and non-informative prior (NIP), pooling randomized controlled trials with rare events using the odds ratio metric. We also considered the beta-binomial model proposed by Kuss and the random intercept and slope generalized linear mixed models. The simulation scenarios varied based on the treatment effect, sample size ratio between the treatment and control arms, and level of heterogeneity. Performance was evaluated using median bias, root mean square error, median width of 95% credible or confidence intervals, coverage, Type I error, and empirical power. Two reviews are used to illustrate these methods. The results demonstrate that the WIP outperforms the NIP within the same model structure. Among the compared models, the model that included the treatment effect parameter in the risk model for the control arm did not perform well. Our findings confirm that rare events meta-analysis faces the challenge of being underpowered, highlighting the importance of reporting the power of results in empirical studies.

The Use of Real-World Evidence for Regulatory Decisions in China.

There is a growing demand for the use of high-quality real-world evidence (RWE) to support regulatory decision-making worldwide and in China, which highlights the need for conducting literature reviews to evaluate the available data and evidence. This study aims to review the use of RWE in Chinese regulatory decisions and to summarize relevant regulatory and methodological considerations to inform the future use of RWE in China. We identified policy documents, technical guidance documents, and cases on official Chinese government websites and extracted their contents separately. We consulted experts from the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) and academic institutes and searched case-related articles for enrichment. We also searched and included articles related to the use of RWE/Real-world data in Chinese regulatory decisions. Six trial versions of technical guidance documents, 7 case studies, and 40 articles related to the Chinese regulatory decisions were included in this study. Based on the technical guidance, data quality, and appropriate study design and statistical analysis are the main concerns for RWE generation. The cases and articles related to regulatory decisions revealed 9 main concerns, including data sources and applicability, data quality, strength of existing evidence, appropriate study design and statistical analysis, regulated and transparent process for analysis and evidence generation, product safety and efficacy, product characteristics and clinical needs, ethical considerations and data security, and communicate adequately with regulatory authorities. Among these concerns, data issues are central. Preliminary attempts have been made by the NMPA to promote the use of RWE, but substantial challenges still remain.

The Top 100 Cited Articles Focusing on Acute Lung Injury and ARDS: Bibliometric and Visualization Analyses.

BACKGROUND: In recent years, acute lung injury (ALI) and ARDS have emerged as critical health concerns, drawing considerable attention from clinicians. The volume of published articles on ALI/ARDS is on the rise, indicating the expanding research interest in this field. However, the precise quantity and quality of studies on ALI/ARDS remain unclear. Consequently, we employed bibliometric and visual techniques to comprehensively analyze the patterns and focal points of these articles. METHODS: To investigate the characteristics of highly referenced papers on ALI/ARDS and offer insights into the progress and advancements in research on ALI/ARDS, we conducted a comprehensive search in the core Web of Science database for cited articles using the terms "ALI," "acute lung injury," "ARDS," or "acute respiratory distress syndrome." A total of 60,282 citations were retrieved by narrowing the scope to reviews, articles, and publications in English. From the obtained citations, we selected materials for analysis from the top 100 articles with the highest number of citations. Subsequently, the articles were visualized and analyzed using VOSviewer, CiteSpace, and bibliometric techniques. This analysis focused on identifying trends related to authors, journals, countries, institutions, collaborative networks, key words, and other relevant factors in the field of ALI/ARDS research. RESULTS: Among the top 100 cited articles, the highest and lowest number of citations were 6,957 and 451, respectively. A total of 100 articles were published between 1991-2020, with a peak in publications observed in 2004, 2005, and 2012 (no. = 7). Among 29 journals, The New England Journal of Medicine (no. = 21) had the highest number of publications, followed by the American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine (no. = 14). Among the 29 countries represented in the top 100 cited articles, the United States (no. = 51) emerged as the leading country in the number of publications, followed by Canada (no. = 19) (there was some overlap in paper output between countries due to co-publication). The 3 predominant keywords identified in studies within the ALI/ARDS domain were ALI, mechanical ventilation, and PEEP. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a historical perspective on the scientific advancements in ALI/ARDS research, highlighting the need for further investigation and development in specific areas within the field. Bibliometric analyses reveal that the United States is the predominant force in the field of ALI/ARDS, contributing significantly to its development. Through an examination of highly cited papers on ALI/ARDS, we have identified global research trends, assessed the quality of studies, and identified hot topics in the field of ALI/ARDS.

A population-based cohort of drug exposures and adverse pregnancy outcomes in China (DEEP): rationale, design, and baseline characteristics.

The DEEP cohort is the first population-based cohort of pregnant population in China that longitudinally documented drug uses throughout the pregnancy life course and adverse pregnancy outcomes. The main goal of the study aims to monitor and evaluate the safety of drug use through the pregnancy life course in the Chinese setting. The DEEP cohort is developed primarily based on the population-based data platforms in Xiamen, a municipal city of 5 million population in southeast China. Based on these data platforms, we developed a pregnancy database that documented health care services and outcomes in the maternal and other departments. For identifying drug uses, we developed a drug prescription database using electronic healthcare records documented in the platforms across the primary, secondary and tertiary hospitals. By linking these two databases, we developed the DEEP cohort. All the pregnant women and their offspring in Xiamen are provided with health care and followed up according to standard protocols, and the primary adverse outcomes - congenital malformations - are collected using a standardized Case Report Form. From January 2013 to December 2021, the DEEP cohort included 564,740 pregnancies among 470,137 mothers, and documented 526,276 live births, 14,090 miscarriages and 6,058 fetal deaths/stillbirths and 25,723 continuing pregnancies. In total, 13,284,982 prescriptions were documented, in which 2,096 chemicals drugs, 163 biological products, 847 Chinese patent medicines and 655 herbal medicines were prescribed. The overall incidence rate of congenital malformations was 2.0% (10,444/526,276), while there were 25,526 (4.9%) preterm births and 25,605 (4.9%) live births with low birth weight.

Design and statistical analysis reporting among interrupted time series studies in drug utilization research: a cross-sectional survey.

INTRODUCTION: Interrupted time series (ITS) design is a commonly used method for evaluating large-scale interventions in clinical practice or public health. However, improperly using this method can lead to biased results. OBJECTIVE: To investigate design and statistical analysis characteristics of drug utilization studies using ITS design, and give recommendations for improvements. METHODS: A literature search was conducted based on PubMed from January 2021 to December 2021. We included original articles that used ITS design to investigate drug utilization without restriction on study population or outcome types. A structured, pilot-tested questionnaire was developed to extract information regarding study characteristics and details about design and statistical analysis. RESULTS: We included 153 eligible studies. Among those, 28.1% (43/153) clearly explained the rationale for using the ITS design and 13.7% (21/153) clarified the rationale of using the specified ITS model structure. One hundred and forty-nine studies used aggregated data to do ITS analysis, and 20.8% (31/149) clarified the rationale for the number of time points. The consideration of autocorrelation, non-stationary and seasonality was often lacking among those studies, and only 14 studies mentioned all of three methodological issues. Missing data was mentioned in 31 studies. Only 39.22% (60/153) reported the regression models, while 15 studies gave the incorrect interpretation of level change due to time parameterization. Time-varying participant characteristics were considered in 24 studies. In 97 studies containing hierarchical data, 23 studies clarified the heterogeneity among clusters and used statistical methods to address this issue. CONCLUSION: The quality of design and statistical analyses in ITS studies for drug utilization remains unsatisfactory. Three emerging methodological issues warranted particular attention, including incorrect interpretation of level change due to time parameterization, time-varying participant characteristics and hierarchical data analysis. We offered specific recommendations about the design, analysis and reporting of the ITS study.

Tenecteplase versus alteplase for acute ischemic stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized and non-randomized studies.

OBJECTIVE: Alteplase is the current standard of care for acute ischemic stroke. Tenecteplase is a newer fibrinolytic agent with preferable administration and lower costs; however, its comparative effectiveness to alteplase remains uncertain. We set out to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to establish the benefits and harms of tenecteplase versus alteplase for acute ischemic stroke. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and ClinicalTrials.gov from inception to April 2023 for randomized and non-randomized studies that compared tenecteplase versus alteplase for acute ischemic stroke. Paired reviewers independently assessed risk of bias and extracted data. We performed both conventional meta-analyses and Bayesian network meta-analyses (NMA) with random-effects models and used the GRADE approach to evaluate the certainty of evidence. Our primary efficacy outcome was excellent functional outcome at 3 months, defined as a score of 0-1 on the modified Rankin Scale. Our primary safety outcomes were symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-six studies were eligible for review, including 12 randomized (n = 5533) and 24 non-randomized studies (n = 44,956). Moderate certainty evidence showed that there was no difference between tenecteplase and alteplase in increasing the proportion of patients achieving excellent functional outcome at 3 months (odds ratio [OR], 1.10; 95% CI 0.98-1.23; risk difference [RD] 2.4%, 95% CI - 0.5 to 5.2), while moderate certainty evidence from NMA suggested that 0.25 mg/kg tenecteplase significantly improved excellent functional outcome at 3 months (OR, 1.16; 95% credible interval 1.02-1.32). Moderate certainty evidence showed that, compared to alteplase, tenecteplase may make little to no difference in the prevalence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (OR, 1.12; 95% CI 0.79-1.59; RD 0.3%, 95% CI - 0.5 to 1.4), and probably reduces all-cause mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.44; 95% CI 0.30-0.64; RD - 4.6%; 95% CI - 5.8 to - 2.9). CONCLUSIONS: Moderate certainty evidence suggested that there was little to no difference between tenecteplase and alteplase in increasing the proportion of patients achieving excellent functional outcome at 3 months and the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, while compared to alteplase, tenecteplase probably reduce all-cause mortality. Administration of 0.25 mg/kg tenecteplase after acute ischemic stroke is suggestive of increasing the proportion of patients that achieve excellent functional outcome at 3 months.

Handling time-varying treatments in observational studies: A scoping review and recommendations.

OBJECTIVE: Time-varying treatments are common in observational studies. However, when assessing treatment effects, the methodological framework has not been systematically established for handling time-varying treatments. This study aimed to examine the current methods for dealing with time-varying treatments in observational studies and developed practical recommendations. METHODS: We searched PubMed from 2000 to 2021 for methodological articles about time-varying treatments, and qualitatively summarized the current methods for handling time-varying treatments. Subsequently, we developed practical recommendations through interactive internal group discussions and consensus by a panel of external experts. RESULTS: Of the 36 eligible reports (22 methodological reviews, 10 original studies, 2 tutorials and 2 commentaries), most examined statistical methods for time-varying treatments, and only a few discussed the overarching methodological process. Generally, there were three methodological components to handle time-varying treatments. These included the specification of treatment which may be categorized as three scenarios (i.e., time-independent treatment, static treatment regime, or dynamic treatment regime); definition of treatment status which could involve three approaches (i.e., intention-to-treat, per-protocol, or as-treated approach); and selection of analytic methods. Based on the review results, a methodological workflow and a set of practical recommendations were proposed through two consensus meetings. CONCLUSIONS: There is no consensus process for assessing treatment effects in observational studies with time-varying treatments. Previous efforts were dedicated to developing statistical methods. Our study proposed a stepwise workflow with practical recommendations to assist the practice.

Prediction and evaluation of a nomogram model for recurrent acute pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the influencing factors for recurrent acute pancreatitis and construct the nomogram model to predict the risk of recurrent acute pancreatitis. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis in the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University were enrolled. We collected these patients' basic information, laboratory data, imaging information. Using Logistic regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to select risk factor for Cross-Validation Criterion. To create nomogram and validated by receiver operator characteristic curve, calibration curves and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A total of 533 patients with acute pancreatitis were included, including 99 recurrent acute pancreatitis patients. The average age of recurrent acute pancreatitis patients was 49.69 years old, and 67.7% of them were male. At the same time, in all recurrent acute pancreatitis patients, hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis is the most important reason (54.5%). Regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression showed that smoking history, acute necrotic collection, triglyceride, and alcohol etiology for acute pancreatitis were identified and entered into the nomogram. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of the training set was 0.747. The calibration curve showed the consistency between the nomogram model and the actual probability. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, some high-risk factors like smoking history, acute necrotic collection, triglyceride, and alcohol etiology for acute pancreatitis may predict recurrent pancreatitis and their incorporation into a nomogram has high accuracy in predicting recurrence.

Comparing clinical outcomes of peroral endoscopic myotomy for achalasia between Eastern and Western countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) has revolutionized the therapeutic strategy for achalasia with promising results. We conducted this meta-analysis to compare clinical outcomes between Eastern and Western countries. A comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases to query for studies that assessed the efficacy of POEM for achalasia. All articles published from inception to December 31, 2021 were included. The primary outcome was the pooled clinical success rate. The secondary outcomes included the pooled technical success rate, incidence of adverse events, procedure time and hospital stay. Eighteen Eastern studies involving 5962 patients and 11 Western studies involving 1651 patients were included. The pooled clinical success rate and technical success rate for POEM was equal in the Eastern studies compared to Western studies. The pooled incidence of procedure adverse events for POEM was a little lower in the Eastern studies compared to Western studies (6.6% vs. 8.7%). Similarly, the incidence of reflux-related adverse events was lower in Eastern studies than that in Western studies. The pooled procedure time of POEM was shorter in Eastern studies compared to Western studies (61 minutes vs. 80 minutes), while the length of hospital stay was longer in Eastern studies compared to Western studies (5.8 days vs. 2.4 days). Overall, Eastern countries have the similar POEM outcomes compared to Western countries. However, Eastern countries still need to do more to reduce the length of hospital stay.

Trends of hospitalisation among new admission inpatients with oesophagogastric variceal bleeding in cirrhosis from 2014 to 2019 in the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University: a single-centre time-series analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the internal law and time trend of hospitalisation for oesophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) in cirrhosis and develop an effective model to predict the trend of hospitalisation time. DESIGN: We used a time series covering 72 months to analyse the hospitalisation for EGVB in cirrhosis. The number of inpatients in the first 60 months was used as the training set to establish the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, and the number over the next 12 months was used as the test set to predict and observe their fitting effect. SETTING AND DATA: Case data of patients with EGVB between January 2014 and December 2019 were collected from the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University. OUTCOME MEASURES: The number of monthly hospitalised patients with EGVB in our hospital. RESULTS: A total of 877 patients were included in the analysis. The proportion of EGVB in patients with cirrhosis was 73% among men and 27% among women. The peak age at hospitalisation was 40-60 years. The incidence of EGVB varied seasonally with two peaks from January to February and October to November, while the lowest number was observed between April and August. Time-series analysis showed that the number of inpatients with EGVB in our hospital increased annually. The sequence after the first-order difference was a stationary series (augmented Dickey-Fuller test p=0.02). ARIMA (0,1,0) (0,1,1)12 with a minimum Akaike Information Criterion value of 260.18 could fit the time trend of EGVB inpatients and had a good short-term prediction effect. The root mean square error and mean absolute error were 2.4347 and 1.9017, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The number of hospitalised patients with EGVB at our hospital is increasing annually, with seasonal changes. The ARIMA model has a good prediction effect on the number of hospitalised patients with EGVB in cirrhosis.

Regulation of spermatogonial stem cell differentiation by Sertoli cells-derived exosomes through paracrine and autocrine signaling.

In the orchestrated environment of the testicular niche, the equilibrium between self-renewal and differentiation of spermatogonial stem cells (SSCs) is meticulously maintained, ensuring a stable stem cell reserve and robust spermatogenesis. Within this milieu, extracellular vesicles, specifically exosomes, have emerged as critical conveyors of intercellular communication. Despite their recognized significance, the implications of testicular exosomes in modulating SSC fate remain incompletely characterized. Given the fundamental support and regulatory influence of Sertoli cells (SCs) on SSCs, we were compelled to explore the role of SC-derived exosomes (SC-EXOs) in the SSC-testicular niche. Our investigation hinged on the hypothesis that SC-EXOs, secreted by SCs from the testes of 5-day-old mice-a developmental juncture marking the onset of SSC differentiation-participate in the regulation of this process. We discovered that exposure to SC-EXOs resulted in an upsurge of PLZF, MVH, and STRA8 expression in SSC cultures, concomitant with a diminution of ID4 and GFRA1 levels. Intriguingly, obstructing exosomal communication in a SC-SSC coculture system with the exosome inhibitor GW4869 attenuated SSC differentiation, suggesting that SC-EXOs may modulate this process via paracrine signaling. Further scrutiny revealed the presence of miR-493-5p within SC-EXOs, which suppresses Gdnf mRNA in SCs to indirectly restrain SSC differentiation through the modulation of GDNF expression-an indication of autocrine regulation. Collectively, our findings illuminate the complex regulatory schema by which SC-EXOs affect SSC differentiation, offering novel perspectives and laying the groundwork for future preclinical and clinical investigations.

A systematic survey of adaptive trials shows substantial improvement in methods is needed.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the design, conduct, and analysis of adaptive trials through a systematic survey and provide recommendations for future adaptive trials. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We systematically searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and ClinicalTrials.gov databases up to January 2020. We included trials that were self-described as adaptive trials or applied adaptive designs. We identified three frequently used adaptive designs and summarized their methodological details in terms of design, conduct, and analysis. Lastly, we provided recommendations for future adaptive trials. RESULTS: We included a total of 128 trials in this study. The primary motivations for using adaptive design were to speed up the trials and facilitate decision-making (n = 29, 31.5%). The three most frequently used methods were group sequential design (GSD) (n = 71, 55.5%), adaptive dose-finding design (ADFD) (n = 35, 27.3%), and adaptive randomization design (ARD) (n = 26, 20.3%). The timing and frequency of interim analysis were detailed in three-fourths of the GSD trials (n = 55, 77.5%) and in half of the ADFD trials (n = 19, 54.3%); however, more than half of the ARD trials (n = 15, 57.7%) did not provide this information. Some trials selected a different outcome than the primary outcome for interim analysis (GSD: n = 7, 12.7%; ADFD: n = 8, 27.6%; ARD: n = 7, 50.0%), but the majority of these trials did not provide explicit reasons for this choice (GSD: n = 7, 100.0%; ADFD: n = 7, 87.5%; ARD: n = 5, 71.4%). More than half (n = 76, 59.4%) of trials did not mention the accessibility of supporting documents, and two-thirds (n = 86, 67.2%) did not state the establishment of independent data monitoring committees (IDMCs). Moreover, unplanned adjustments were observed during the conduct of one-sixth adaptive trials (n = 22, 17.2%). Based on our findings, we provide 14 recommendations for improving adaptive trials in the future. CONCLUSION: Substantial improvements were needed in methods of adaptive trials, particularly in the areas of interim analysis, the establishment of independent data monitoring committees, and unplanned adjustments. In this study, we offer recommendations from both general and specific aspects for researchers to carefully design, conduct, and analyze adaptive trials.

Early growth response 1/Krüppel-like factor 5 pathway inhibitor alleviates lipopolysaccharide-induced lung injury by promoting autophagy.

Early transcription factors play critical roles in the development of acute lung injury/acute respiratory distress syndrome (ALI/ARDS). Early growth response 1 (EGR1) is a transcription factor essential for various biological processes, including regulation of metabolism, differentiation, and inflammation. However, its role in ALI has been poorly reported. In this study, we aimed to determine the effect of EGR1 on ALI to gain insights into the theoretical basis for further treatment of ALI. By employing concerted molecular biology techniques, we showed that EGR1 protein was upregulated in mice. EGR1 protein was upregulated in mice and human lung epithelial cells in response to lipopolysaccharide (LPS) stimulation. EGR1 knockdown promoted autophagy and reduced LPS-induced pro-inflammatory mediator production. EGR1 was preferentially bound to the GCGTGGGCG motif region and EGR1-binding peak-related genes were mainly enriched in autophagy and injury stress-related pathways. Additionally, EGR1 promoted Krüppel-like factor 5 (KLF5) transcription by binding to the KLF5 promoter region, and KLF5 knockdown significantly decreased inflammatory damage, suggesting that EGR1 promotes ALI progression by regulating KLF5 expression. Furthermore, ML264, an inhibitor of the EGR1/KLF5 pathway axis, displayed a protective role in ALI to reduce inflammation. In conclusion, our findings demonstrate the potential of EGR1 knockdown to inhibit KLF5 and promote autophagy, further reducing the inflammatory response to mitigate ALI/ARDS. The EGR1/KLF5 pathway axis may be a valuable therapeutic target for the treatment of ALI/ARDS.

Validation and impact of algorithms for identifying variables in observational studies of routinely collected data.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Among observational studies of routinely collected health data (RCD) for exploring treatment effects, algorithms are used to identify study variables. However, the extent to which algorithms are reliable and impact the credibility of effect estimates is far from clear. This study aimed to investigate the validation of algorithms for identifying study variables from RCD, and examine the impact of alternative algorithms on treatment effects. METHODS: We searched PubMed for observational studies published in 2018 that used RCD to explore drug treatment effects. Information regarding the reporting, validation, and interpretation of algorithms was extracted. We summarized the reporting and methodological characteristics of algorithms and validation. We also assessed the divergence in effect estimates given alternative algorithms by calculating the ratio of estimates of the primary vs. alternative analyses. RESULTS: A total of 222 studies were included, of which 93 (41.9%) provided a complete list of algorithms for identifying participants, 36 (16.2%) for exposure, and 132 (59.5%) for outcomes, and 15 (6.8%) for all study variables including population, exposure, and outcomes. Fifty-nine (26.6%) studies stated that the algorithms were validated, and 54 (24.3%) studies reported methodological characteristics of 66 validations, among which 61 validations in 49 studies were from the cross-referenced validation studies. Of those 66 validations, 22 (33.3%) reported sensitivity and 16 (24.2%) reported specificity. A total of 63.6% of studies reporting sensitivity and 56.3% reporting specificity used test-result-based sampling, an approach that potentially biases effect estimates. Twenty-eight (12.6%) studies used alternative algorithms to identify study variables, and 24 reported the effects estimated by primary analyses and sensitivity analyses. Of these, 20% had differential effect estimates when using alternative algorithms for identifying population, 18.2% for identifying exposure, and 45.5% for classifying outcomes. Only 32 (14.4%) studies discussed how the algorithms may affect treatment estimates. CONCLUSION: In observational studies of RCD, the algorithms for variable identification were not regularly validated, and-even if validated-the methodological approach and performance of the validation were often poor. More seriously, different algorithms may yield differential treatment effects, but their impact is often ignored by researchers. Strong efforts, including recommendations, are warranted to improve good practice.

A rapid and stable spontaneous reprogramming system of Spermatogonial stem cells to Pluripotent State.

BACKGROUND: The scarcity of pluripotent stem cells poses a major challenge to the clinical application, given ethical and biosafety considerations. While germline stem cells commit to gamete differentiation throughout life, studies demonstrated the spontaneous acquisition of pluripotency by spermatogonial stem cells (SSCs) from neonatal testes at a low frequency (1 in 1.5 × 107). Notably, this process occurs without exogenous oncogenes or chemical supplementation. However, while knockout of the p53 gene accelerates the transformation of SSCs, it also increases risk and hampers their clinical use. RESULTS: We report a transformation system that efficiently and stably convert SSCs into pluripotent stem cells around 10 passages with the morphology similar to that of epiblast stem cells, which convert to embryonic stem (ES) cell-like colonies after change with ES medium. Epidermal growth factor (EGF), leukemia inhibitory factor (LIF) and fresh mouse embryonic fibroblast feeder (MEF) are essential for transformation, and addition of 2i (CHIR99021 and PD0325901) further enhanced the pluripotency. Transcriptome analysis revealed that EGF activated the RAS signaling pathway and inhibited p38 to initiate transformation, and synergically cooperated with LIF to promote the transformation. CONCLUSION: This system established an efficient and safe resource of pluripotent cells from autologous germline, and provide new avenues for regenerative medicine and animal cloning.

Comparison of clinical characteristics and disease burden between early- and late-onset type 2 diabetes patients: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The clinical characteristics of early-onset type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients are not fully understood. To address this gap, we conducted a cohort study to evaluate clinical characteristics and disease burden in the new-onset T2D population, especially regarding the progression of diseases. METHODS: This cohort study was conducted using a population-based database. Patients who were diagnosed with T2D were identified from the database and were classified into early- (age < 40) and late-onset (age ≥ 40) groups. A descriptive analysis was performed to compare clinical characteristics and disease burden between early- and late-onset T2D patients. The progression of disease was compared using Kaplan‒Meier analysis. RESULTS: A total of 652,290 type 2 diabetic patients were included. Of those, 21,347 were early-onset patients, and 300,676 were late-onset patients. Early-onset T2D patients had poorer glycemic control than late-onset T2D patients, especially at the onset of T2D (HbA1c: 9.3 [7.5, 10.9] for early-onset vs. 7.7 [6.8, 9.2] for late-onset, P < 0.001; random blood glucose: 10.9 [8.0, 14.3] for early-onset vs. 8.8 [6.9, 11.8] for late-onset, P < 0.001). Insulin was more often prescribed for early-onset patients (15.2%) than for late-onset patients (14.8%). Hypertension (163.0 [28.0, 611.0] days) and hyperlipidemia (114.0 [19.0, 537.0] days) progressed more rapidly among early-onset patients, while more late-onset patients developed hypertension (72.7% vs. 60.1%, P < 0.001), hyperlipidemia (65.4% vs. 51.0%, P < 0.001), cardiovascular diseases (66.0% vs. 26.7%, P < 0.001) and chronic kidney diseases (5.5% vs. 2.1%, P < 0.001) than early-onset patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our study results indicate that patients with newly diagnosed early-onset T2D had earlier comorbidities of hypertension and hyperlipidemia. Both clinical characteristics and treatment patterns suggest that the degree of metabolic disturbance is more severe in patients with early-onset type 2 diabetes. This highlights the importance of promoting healthy diets or lifestyles to prevent T2D onset in young adults.

Sample size calculations for randomized controlled trials with repeatedly measured continuous variables as primary outcomes need improvements: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with repeatedly measured continuous variables as primary outcomes are common. Although statistical methodologies for calculating sample sizes in such trials have been extensively investigated, their practical application remains unclear. This study aims to provide an overview of sample size calculation methods for different research questions (e.g., key time point treatment effect, treatment effect change over time) and evaluate the adequacy of current practices in trial design. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed to identify RCTs published in core journals in 2019 that utilized repeatedly measured continuous variables as their primary outcomes. Data were extracted using a predefined questionnaire including general study characteristics, primary outcomes, detailed sample size calculation methods, and methods for analyzing the primary outcome. We re-estimated the sample size for trials that provided all relevant parameters. RESULTS: A total of 168 RCTs were included, with a median of four repeated measurements (interquartile range 3-6) per outcome. In 48 (28.6%) trials, the primary outcome used for sample size calculation differed from the one used in defining the primary outcomes. There were 90 (53.6%) trials exhibited inconsistencies between the hypotheses specified for sample size calculation and those specified for primary analysis. The statistical methods used for sample size calculation in 158 (94.0%) trials did not align with those used for primary analysis. Additionally, only 6 (3.6%) trials accounted for the number of repeated measurements, and 7 (4.2%) trials considered the correlation among these measurements when calculating the sample size. Furthermore, of the 128 (76.2%) trials that considered loss to follow-up, 33 (25.8%) used an incorrect formula (i.e., N∗(1+lose rate) for sample size adjustment. In 53 (49.5%) out of 107 trials, the re-estimated sample size was larger than the reported sample size. CONCLUSION: The practice of sample size calculation for RCTs with repeatedly measured continuous variables as primary outcomes displayed significant deficiencies, with a notable proportion of trials failed to report essential parameters about repeated measurement required for sample size calculation. Our findings highlight the urgent need to use optimal sample size methods that align with the research hypothesis, primary analysis method, and the form of the primary outcome.

Reporting, handling, and interpretation of time-varying drug treatments in observational studies using routinely collected healthcare data.

BACKGROUND: Time-varying drug treatments are common in studies using routinely collected health data (RCD) for assessing treatment effects. This study aimed to examine how these studies reported, handled, and interpreted time-varying drug treatments. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted on PubMed from 2018 to 2020. Eligible studies were those used RCD to explore drug treatment effects. We summarized the reporting characteristics and methods employed for handling time-varying treatments. Logistic regressions were performed to investigate the association between study characteristics and the reporting of time-varying treatments. RESULTS: Two hundred and fifty-six studies were included, and 225 (87.9%) studies involved time-varying treatments. Of these, 24 (10.7%) reported the proportion of time-varying treatments and 105 (46.7%) reported methods used to handle time-varying treatments. Multivariable logistic regression showed that medical studies, prespecified protocol, and involvement of methodologists were associated with a higher likelihood of reporting the methods applied to handle time-varying treatments. Among the 105 studies that reported methods, as-treated analyses were the most commonly used analysis sets, which were employed in 73.9%, 75.3% and 88.2% of studies that reported approaches for treatment discontinuation, treatment switching and treatment add-on. Among the 225 studies involved time-varying treatments, 27 (12.0%) acknowledged the potential bias introduced by treatment change, of which 14 (51.9%) suggested that potential biases may impact acceptance or rejection of the null hypothesis. CONCLUSIONS: Among observational studies using RCD, the underreporting about the presence and methods for handling time-varying treatments was largely common. The potential biases due to time-varying treatments have frequently been disregarded. Collaborative endeavors are strongly needed to enhance the prevailing practices.

Application of a Machine Learning Predictive Model for Recurrent Acute Pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Acute pancreatitis is the main cause of hospitalization for pancreatic disease. Some patients tend to have recurrent episodes after experiencing an episode of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed to construct predictive models for recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). METHODS: A total of 531 patients who were hospitalized for the first episode of acute pancreatitis at the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University from January 2018 to December 2019 were enrolled in the study. We confirmed whether the patients had a second episode until December 31, 2021, through an electronic medical record system and telephone or WeChat follow-up. Clinical and follow-up data of patients were collected and randomly allocated to the training and test sets at a ratio of 7:3. The training set was used to select the best model, and the selected model was tested with the test set. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, accuracy, decision curve, and calibration plots were used to assess the efficacy of the models. Shapley additive explanation values were used to explain the model. RESULTS: Considering multiple indices, XGBoost was the best model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the XGBoost model in the test set were 0.779, 0.763, 0.883, 0.647, 0.341, and 0.922, respectively. According to the Shapley additive explanation values, drinking, smoking, higher levels of triglyceride, and the occurrence of ANC are associated with RAP. CONCLUSION: The XGBoost model shows good performance in predicting RAP, which may help identify high-risk patients.

Liensinine alleviates LPS-induced acute lung injury by blocking autophagic flux via PI3K/AKT/mTOR signaling pathway.

Acute lung injury (ALI) is a major pathological problem characterized by severe inflammatory reactions and is a critical disease with high clinical morbidity and mortality. Liensinine, a major isoquinoline alkaloid, is extracted from the green embryos of mature Nelumbonaceae seeds. It has been reported to have an inhibitory effect on tumors. However, the effects of liensinine on ALI have not been reported to-date. The aim of this study was to explore the inhibitory effects of liensinine on lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced ALI and its possible mechanism. We found that liensinine significantly reduced LPS-induced ALI and reduced the production of inflammatory factors IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α. In addition, liensinine blocked autophagic flux and increased the number of autophagosomes by upregulating LC3-II/I and p62 protein levels. More importantly, pretreatment with the early stages autophagy inhibitor 3-Methyladenine (3-MA) can reverse the inhibitory effects of liensinine on the secretion of inflammatory factors in ALI. The PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway is involved in LPS-induced autophagy regulated by liensinine in ALI. In summary, this study suggests that liensinine inhibits the production of inflammatory factors in LPS-induced ALI by regulating autophagy via the PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway, which may provide a new therapeutic strategy to alleviate ALI.